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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis-0.32+2.29vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+2.52vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-0.99vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98+0.47vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.93-0.58vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-2.34+0.58vs Predicted
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7-1.01-2.42vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.02-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29University of California at Davis-0.320.2%1st Place
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4.52University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.1%1st Place
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2.01University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.4%1st Place
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4.47University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.1%1st Place
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4.42University of California at Davis-0.930.1%1st Place
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6.58University of California at Santa Cruz-2.340.0%1st Place
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4.58-1.010.1%1st Place
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6.12University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 15.9% | 23.1% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Martin | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 6.5% |
| Colin Olson | 44.9% | 27.2% | 16.0% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Elliott | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 11.6% | 6.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 7.9% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 11.5% | 5.1% |
| Maximus Suh | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 20.7% | 44.9% |
| SCYC 1 | 8.4% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 7.7% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 26.5% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.