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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis-0.43+2.63vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+2.54vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03+1.73vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-1.77vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83-0.59vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.05+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-2.12-0.52vs Predicted
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8-0.47-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63University of California at Davis-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.54University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.1%1st Place
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4.73University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.1%1st Place
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2.23University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.4%1st Place
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4.41University of California at Santa Cruz-0.830.1%1st Place
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6.32University of California at San Diego-2.050.0%1st Place
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6.48University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
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3.66-0.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braedon Hansen | 15.0% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 5.2% |
| Artie Nazarov | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 7.8% |
| Blake Roberts | 38.4% | 27.6% | 16.9% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Dante Massaro | 8.3% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 3.9% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 21.2% | 37.3% |
| Melody Quevedo | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 13.0% | 23.4% | 41.6% |
| SCYC 2 | 14.8% | 16.6% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.