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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1-0.47+2.68vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.43+1.68vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-0.80vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+0.51vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83-0.59vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.05+0.33vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03-2.22vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-2.12-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68-0.470.1%1st Place
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3.68University of California at Davis-0.430.1%1st Place
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2.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.4%1st Place
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4.51University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.1%1st Place
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4.41University of California at Santa Cruz-0.830.1%1st Place
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6.33University of California at San Diego-2.050.0%1st Place
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4.78University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.1%1st Place
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6.4University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCYC 2 | 13.7% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Braedon Hansen | 14.3% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 40.7% | 25.7% | 17.1% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 11.6% | 6.4% |
| Dante Massaro | 8.4% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 5.0% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 22.2% | 37.6% |
| Artie Nazarov | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 9.7% |
| Melody Quevedo | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 25.5% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.