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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1-0.47+2.69vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83+2.41vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis-0.43+0.66vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-1.77vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03-0.27vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-1.52vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.05-0.59vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-2.12-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69-0.470.1%1st Place
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4.41University of California at Santa Cruz-0.830.1%1st Place
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3.66University of California at Davis-0.430.2%1st Place
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2.23University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.4%1st Place
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4.73University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.1%1st Place
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4.48University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.1%1st Place
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6.41University of California at San Diego-2.050.0%1st Place
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6.4University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCYC 2 | 14.1% | 18.5% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Dante Massaro | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 5.4% |
| Braedon Hansen | 16.6% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 37.7% | 28.4% | 17.3% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Artie Nazarov | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 6.9% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 11.9% | 6.1% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 23.8% | 40.1% |
| Melody Quevedo | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 24.8% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.