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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1-0.47+2.79vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.43+1.82vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+1.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03+0.79vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-2.67vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12-2.73vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-2.79+0.15vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.05-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79-0.470.1%1st Place
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3.82University of California at Davis-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.56University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.1%1st Place
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4.79University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.1%1st Place
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2.33University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.4%1st Place
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3.27University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.2%1st Place
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7.15University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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6.29University of California at San Diego-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCYC 2 | 13.2% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| Braedon Hansen | 13.1% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 0.9% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 13.6% | 4.4% |
| Artie Nazarov | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 21.9% | 16.9% | 4.4% |
| Blake Roberts | 36.4% | 26.7% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Summer Drake | 18.0% | 19.5% | 19.9% | 18.4% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Sam Dudley | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 16.3% | 63.8% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 16.5% | 35.4% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.