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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+3.51vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12+1.31vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-0.66vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-0.43-0.18vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03-0.16vs Predicted
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6-0.47-2.20vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-2.79+0.14vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.05-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.1%1st Place
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3.31University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.2%1st Place
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2.34University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.4%1st Place
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3.82University of California at Davis-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.84University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.1%1st Place
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3.8-0.470.1%1st Place
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7.14University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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6.24University of California at San Diego-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Holdenried | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 2.8% |
| Summer Drake | 17.4% | 20.6% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Blake Roberts | 36.0% | 26.4% | 17.8% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 13.3% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 7.1% | 1.0% |
| Artie Nazarov | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 19.9% | 17.7% | 5.1% |
| SCYC 2 | 13.7% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Sam Dudley | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 16.3% | 64.3% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 17.0% | 33.8% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.