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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03+2.88vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12+0.59vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+0.79vs Predicted
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4-0.47-0.82vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.43-1.90vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-2.79+0.20vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.05-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.1%1st Place
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2.59University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.3%1st Place
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3.79University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.1%1st Place
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3.18-0.470.2%1st Place
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3.1University of California at Davis-0.430.2%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Davis-2.790.0%1st Place
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5.27University of California at San Diego-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artie Nazarov | 12.4% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 5.6% |
| Summer Drake | 30.5% | 23.2% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 12.4% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 22.3% | 13.6% | 3.5% |
| SCYC 2 | 19.5% | 18.7% | 19.9% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 7.1% | 1.3% |
| Braedon Hansen | 19.6% | 21.3% | 21.1% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Sam Dudley | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 18.5% | 62.3% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 35.3% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.