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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+5.11vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.41+5.18vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.15+9.16vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+1.73vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.30+2.38vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.70-0.06vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-0.14vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.65+1.85vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.73+4.41vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.75-0.22vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.98-2.22vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.44-0.89vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-1.69vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.28-2.96vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.57-4.76vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.55-9.40vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University-0.12-1.20vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.16-6.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.18Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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12.16University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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5.73Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.38Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.94Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.85North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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13.41Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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9.78College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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11.11Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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11.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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11.04Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.24Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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6.6Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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15.8Texas A&M University-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.69Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 6.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Miya Preyer | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 13.5% |
| Grace Squires | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 4.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 3.7% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 53.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.