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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+5.25vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+5.11vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.70+3.06vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.75+5.54vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.30+2.40vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.41+1.09vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.57+3.41vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.98+0.63vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.65+1.05vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.75-3.96vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.55-4.35vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.11+0.47vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.28-1.63vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-2.82vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.44-4.18vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.15-3.83vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.16-4.91vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University-0.12-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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6.06Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.54College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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7.4Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.09Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.41Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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8.63Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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10.05North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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6.04Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.65Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.47Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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11.37Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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11.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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10.82Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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12.09Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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15.67Texas A&M University-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.7% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 9.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 4.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 8.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 7.7% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.