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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+5.02vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+5.70vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.44+8.09vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.70+1.95vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.65+4.92vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.690.00vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+4.48vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.41-1.00vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.55-2.60vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.75-0.12vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.28+0.61vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.57-1.26vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.11-1.05vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-7.30vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University-0.12+0.77vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.15-3.92vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.16-4.85vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.98-9.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.7Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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11.09Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.95Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.92North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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6.0Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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7.0Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.4Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.88College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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11.61Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.74Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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11.95Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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15.77Texas A&M University-0.120.0%1st Place
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12.08University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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12.15Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 11.2% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Bridget Green | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 4.8% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.7% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 7.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 52.9% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 7.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 9.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.