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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+4.78vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+4.42vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+4.35vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.70+1.68vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.46+1.63vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+5.37vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.75+2.38vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-1.39vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.98-0.61vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.93-1.06vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.57-0.73vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.44-1.08vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.28-1.87vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University-0.12+1.44vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.65-5.23vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.73-2.60vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.16-5.08vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.15-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.42Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.35Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.68Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.63Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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11.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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9.38College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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8.39Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.94Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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10.27Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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10.92Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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11.13Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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15.44Texas A&M University-0.120.0%1st Place
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9.77North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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13.4Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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11.92Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.2% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 5.4% |
| Grace Squires | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 4.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
| Hanna Progelhof | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 47.5% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Miya Preyer | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 15.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 7.7% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.