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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+6.60vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+2.53vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.86+5.29vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28+2.43vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.02+6.22vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.32+0.34vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.46+2.59vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.04vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.26+1.38vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.76vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.16-3.96vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.29-5.26vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.01-1.80vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.00-2.94vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.39-1.47vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.77-3.65vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.31-6.69vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University-0.46-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.6College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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4.53Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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8.29Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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6.43Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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11.22Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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6.34Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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9.59North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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10.38University of Hawaii1.260.0%1st Place
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11.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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7.04Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.74Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.2Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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11.06Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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13.53Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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12.35Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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10.31Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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15.66Texas A&M University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.2% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 4.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Emma Snead | 8.0% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Carew | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Brook Wood | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 5.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Megan Geith | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.5% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 16.3% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 8.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Kate Hennig | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.