← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.04+6.57vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.46+7.88vs Predicted
-
3Tulane University2.16+4.14vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.98vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.92-0.62vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.32+0.34vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University1.86+1.06vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University1.00+3.27vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.02+2.33vs Predicted
-
10Boston University0.39+3.74vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.29-4.49vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University1.01-0.35vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.28-6.67vs Predicted
-
14University of Hawaii1.26-3.95vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University1.31-4.88vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-4.36vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College0.77-4.65vs Predicted
-
18Texas A&M University-0.46-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.57College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
-
9.88North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
-
7.14Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
-
6.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
4.38Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
-
6.34Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
-
8.06Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
-
11.27Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
-
11.33Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
-
13.74Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
-
6.51Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
-
11.65Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
-
6.33Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
-
10.05University of Hawaii1.260.0%1st Place
-
10.12Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
-
11.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
-
12.35Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
-
15.66Texas A&M University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 19.8% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 3.9% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 19.4% | 17.9% |
| Marbella Marlo | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Megan Geith | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 5.1% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Brook Wood | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 5.9% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 7.8% |
| Kate Hennig | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 49.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.