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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+6.58vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.02+9.62vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.86+5.27vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+0.43vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+0.81vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.10vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.16-0.03vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31+2.13vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.28-2.57vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.46-0.14vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.32-4.55vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.01-0.26vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University-0.46+2.62vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.00-2.91vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-3.51vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.77-3.63vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.26-6.43vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.39-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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11.62Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.27Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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4.43Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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5.81Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.97Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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10.13Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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6.43Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.86North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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6.45Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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11.74Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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15.62Texas A&M University-0.460.0%1st Place
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11.09Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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11.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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12.37Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Hawaii1.260.0%1st Place
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13.44Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 4.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.4% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Megan Geith | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 6.1% |
| Kate Hennig | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 14.3% | 49.9% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Brook Wood | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 4.9% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% |
| Morgan Carew | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 17.7% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.