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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+6.59vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.86+6.27vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+1.56vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28+2.42vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.07vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.47-0.12vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.16+0.01vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.32-1.68vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.01+2.39vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.26+0.63vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.46-1.20vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.02-0.30vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-1.61vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.31-4.06vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.39-1.44vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.00-4.53vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University-0.46-1.08vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.77-5.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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8.27Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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4.56Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.42Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.88Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.01Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.32Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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11.39Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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10.63University of Hawaii1.260.0%1st Place
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9.8North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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11.7Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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11.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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9.94Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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13.56Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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11.47Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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15.92Texas A&M University-0.460.0%1st Place
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12.09Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.2% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 10.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Megan Geith | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 5.0% |
| Brook Wood | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 4.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 15.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 4.8% |
| Kate Hennig | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 52.6% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.