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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.02+10.53vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.86+6.31vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28+3.70vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+0.43vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.11vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.00+5.51vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.43-1.03vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.92+3.60vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.16-2.13vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+0.62vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.01+0.52vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.60-2.53vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.39+0.44vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.46-4.52vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.47-9.19vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University-0.46-0.11vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.31-6.57vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.26-7.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.53Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.31Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.7Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.43Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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11.51Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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5.97Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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11.6Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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6.87Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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10.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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11.52Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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9.47College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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13.44Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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9.48North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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5.81Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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15.89Texas A&M University-0.460.0%1st Place
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10.43Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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10.32University of Hawaii1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Jensen | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 5.6% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.9% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.3% |
| Meredith Moran | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 4.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Megan Geith | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 4.8% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 18.0% | 15.9% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Hennig | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 53.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Morgan Carew | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.