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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.02+10.59vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.16+5.11vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+1.60vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.43+2.00vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.11vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+2.16vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.60+2.11vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31+2.11vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.01+2.38vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.00+1.68vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.26-0.45vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.47-5.85vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.46-3.45vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.28-7.68vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.92-3.32vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.39-2.31vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University-0.46-1.04vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-7.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.59Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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7.11Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.6Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.0Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.16Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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9.11College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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10.11Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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11.38Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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11.68Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Hawaii1.260.0%1st Place
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6.15Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.55North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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6.32Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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11.68Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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13.69Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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15.96Texas A&M University-0.460.0%1st Place
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10.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Jensen | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 5.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.8% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Megan Geith | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 4.9% |
| Morgan Carew | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 8.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 5.0% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 17.5% |
| Kate Hennig | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 15.3% | 52.9% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.