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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.16+5.59vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.04+5.14vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+3.96vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+2.44vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.00+5.79vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92-1.46vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.43-1.15vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.47-2.32vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.86-0.94vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.260.00vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.02+0.04vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University-0.46+3.08vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.31-3.01vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.01-2.90vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.46-5.68vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.39-2.93vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.92-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.14College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.44Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.79Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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4.54Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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5.85Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.68Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.06Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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10.0University of Hawaii1.260.0%1st Place
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11.04Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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15.08Texas A&M University-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.99Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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11.1Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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9.32North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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13.07Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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11.36Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 4.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.3% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Carew | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 5.2% |
| Kate Hennig | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 54.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Megan Geith | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 4.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 19.7% | 16.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.