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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+6.96vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+3.45vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+5.92vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.74+6.25vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.84+4.88vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.52+5.27vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.70-0.41vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.24+4.18vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.99-3.49vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-4.95vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.65-0.14vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.89-1.92vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-6.24vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-1.55vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.06-6.02vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.39-4.12vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.86-3.25vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University0.95-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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5.45Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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10.25Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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11.27Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.59Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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12.18University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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5.51Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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5.05Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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10.86Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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6.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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12.45University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
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8.98University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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11.88George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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13.75University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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13.2Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 10.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 15.6% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% |
| Grace Gear | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Dana Haig | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 13.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 22.8% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.