← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.23+4.04vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.70+4.79vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.07+2.41vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.40+3.69vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+7.65vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.52+5.26vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College1.74+3.31vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.84+1.89vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin0.86+4.69vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-2.90vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida1.24+1.39vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University0.95+1.65vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-4.41vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.89-4.53vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania2.06-5.94vs Predicted
-
16Stanford University2.99-10.38vs Predicted
-
17Jacksonville University1.65-6.18vs Predicted
-
18George Washington University1.39-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.04Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
6.79Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
-
5.41Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
7.69U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
-
12.65University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
-
11.26Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
10.31Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
-
9.89University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
-
13.69University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
-
7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
-
12.39University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
-
13.65Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
-
8.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
9.47University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
-
9.06University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
-
5.62Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
-
10.82Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
-
11.56George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 14.1% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Molly Coghlin | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 15.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 19.9% |
| Dana Haig | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.5% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 23.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Grace Gear | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.