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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.88+8.95vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.99+3.69vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+1.93vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.07+1.21vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.39+6.55vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.70+0.55vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-0.21vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.40-0.43vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.89+0.67vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-1.06vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.74-0.51vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-0.43vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.24-0.91vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-1.56vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.86-1.44vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.65-5.24vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.84-6.92vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University0.95-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.95University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
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5.69Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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4.93Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.21Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.55George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.55Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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6.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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7.57U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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9.67University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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8.94St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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10.49Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
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11.57Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.09University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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12.44University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
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13.56University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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10.76Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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13.16Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeleine Rice | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 13.5% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.7% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Grace Gear | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 22.1% |
| Emily Allen | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.