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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+4.79vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.70+4.70vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+5.85vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.88+5.62vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.89+4.62vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23-1.16vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40+0.68vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-1.32vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.07-3.79vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84+0.14vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.39+0.79vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-0.43vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.74-2.84vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.24-2.08vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-2.23vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.86-2.27vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.65-6.19vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University0.95-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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6.7Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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8.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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4.84Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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6.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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5.21Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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11.79George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.57Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.16Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
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11.92University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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12.77University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
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13.73University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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10.81Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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13.13Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Madeleine Rice | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Grace Gear | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 15.1% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Dana Haig | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.3% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 14.5% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 23.9% |
| Emily Allen | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.