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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+4.71vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.70+4.67vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.65+7.92vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.07+1.26vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.84+4.83vs Predicted
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62.64+0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.88+2.69vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.24+4.17vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+3.81vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-1.10vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.40-3.22vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.23-6.94vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.39-1.45vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.74-3.99vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.52-3.92vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.95-2.63vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.89-7.09vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.86-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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6.67Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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10.92Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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5.26Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.83University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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6.772.640.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
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12.17University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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12.81University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
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8.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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5.06Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.55George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.01Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
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11.08Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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13.37Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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13.5University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.3% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Emily Allen | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.6% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Dana Haig | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.6% |
| Molly Coghlin | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 14.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 14.7% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 21.1% |
| Grace Gear | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.