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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+6.89vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+6.88vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+3.87vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.99+1.44vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.74+5.23vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.70+0.47vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.84+2.93vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.88+1.61vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.07-3.88vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.86+0.13vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.55-3.76vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-0.41vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-0.30vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.86-0.65vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.65-4.33vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.89-6.27vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.39-5.07vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University0.95-4.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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6.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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5.44Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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10.23Eckerd College1.740.0%1st Place
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6.47Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.93University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
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5.12Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.13University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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11.59Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.7University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
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13.35University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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10.67Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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11.93George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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13.23Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Dana Haig | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 13.4% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Madeleine Rice | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.1% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Young | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 16.8% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 22.7% |
| Emily Allen | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Grace Gear | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.