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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.91+3.50vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.13+4.91vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.53vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.39-0.73vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.51vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+5.23vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.91+0.47vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.76+3.64vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.33-3.09vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.03-2.75vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.17+3.70vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.74+0.04vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.26-3.24vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.43-1.49vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.62-2.82vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy0.86-4.58vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University0.79-5.27vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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6.91Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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3.27Stanford University3.390.3%1st Place
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6.51University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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11.23St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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7.47University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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11.64University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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5.91Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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7.25Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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14.7Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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12.04Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.76George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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12.51University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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12.18University of Rhode Island0.620.0%1st Place
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11.42U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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11.73Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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14.44University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 15.2% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 26.2% | 21.3% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Flack | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 17.4% | 30.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.0% |
| Abbie Chipps | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.