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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.13+5.97vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+5.61vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.39+0.30vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.74+7.65vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.43+7.70vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.33+0.10vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.62+5.18vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.03-1.04vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.26+0.86vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.91-5.49vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.79+0.69vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-0.51vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.91-5.58vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.76-2.59vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14-0.45vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College-0.17-1.27vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy0.86-5.53vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.18-11.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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3.3Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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11.65Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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12.7University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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6.1Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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12.18University of Rhode Island0.620.0%1st Place
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6.96Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.86George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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4.51Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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11.69Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.49St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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7.42University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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11.41University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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14.55University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.0%1st Place
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14.73Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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11.47U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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6.4University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 23.2% | 22.0% | 16.9% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 9.9% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Chipps | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 6.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 15.7% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
| Lily Flack | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 18.3% | 26.7% |
| Lily Schwartz | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 31.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.