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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+6.23vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.91+2.46vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.83vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.39-0.74vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.13+1.63vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.18+0.58vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.33-0.96vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.86+3.10vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.74+2.58vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.91-2.37vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.43+1.76vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.26-1.98vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.08+0.64vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.79-2.81vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.62-3.00vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-4.89vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14-2.43vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College-0.17-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.46Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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6.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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3.26Stanford University3.390.3%1st Place
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6.63Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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11.1U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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11.58Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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7.63University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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12.76University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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10.02George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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13.64University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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11.19Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.0University of Rhode Island0.620.0%1st Place
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11.11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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14.57University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.0%1st Place
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14.34Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.8% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 26.1% | 21.5% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 18.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| Abbie Chipps | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
| Lily Flack | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 17.6% | 27.2% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.