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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+2.40vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.90vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.91+1.45vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.13+2.60vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.52vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+1.08vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.33-0.97vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.79+3.36vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+2.03vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.91-2.38vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.08+2.83vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.43+1.03vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.74-1.57vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.26-4.43vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy0.86-3.85vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.62-3.87vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College-0.17-2.39vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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6.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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4.45Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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6.6Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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7.08Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.03Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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11.36Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.03St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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7.62University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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13.83University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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13.03University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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11.43Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.57George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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11.15U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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12.13University of Rhode Island0.620.0%1st Place
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14.61Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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14.26University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 23.8% | 21.8% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 14.5% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Lily Flack | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Sydney Monahan | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 17.5% | 17.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 10.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| Abbie Chipps | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% |
| Lily Schwartz | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 18.2% | 27.6% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.