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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+2.49vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.49+6.39vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University0.74+8.19vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.91+3.12vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.08+4.87vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.26+3.62vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.86+3.83vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+2.46vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.18-2.63vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.43+2.17vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.17+2.95vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14+1.84vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.03-6.18vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.62-2.32vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.07-8.38vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.91-11.90vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-10.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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11.19Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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7.12University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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9.87Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.62George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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10.83U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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10.46St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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12.17University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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13.95Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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13.84University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.0%1st Place
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6.82Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.68University of Rhode Island0.620.0%1st Place
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6.62Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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4.1Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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6.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 24.0% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 6.2% |
| Sydney Monahan | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Agija Elerte | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Lily Flack | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 10.3% |
| Lily Schwartz | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 34.2% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 19.2% | 28.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Abbie Chipps | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 6.3% |
| Taylor Eastman | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 16.1% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.