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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.91+5.82vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.26+7.13vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.49+5.41vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+2.34vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.07+1.30vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.62+5.64vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.11-3.45vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.43+3.80vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+1.61vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.74+1.05vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy0.86-0.32vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14+1.68vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.18-6.76vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.43-1.83vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.03-8.43vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College-0.17-2.16vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.91-12.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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9.13George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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8.41Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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6.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.3Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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11.64University of Rhode Island0.620.0%1st Place
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3.55Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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11.8University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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10.61St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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11.05Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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10.68U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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13.68University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.0%1st Place
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6.24University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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12.17Jacksonville University0.430.0%1st Place
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6.57Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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13.84Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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4.15Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Monahan | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Chipps | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
| Hannah Freeman | 20.9% | 19.1% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.8% |
| Lily Flack | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 4.4% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 28.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ella Bilow | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 9.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lily Schwartz | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 28.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 17.0% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.