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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+6.45vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+6.69vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.07+4.03vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+4.09vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.70+3.36vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.41+3.68vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+3.73vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.30+2.05vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+0.44vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-3.51vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-2.18vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.75+0.72vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.55-4.13vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.40-4.62vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.70-6.65vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.62-2.98vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.86-4.89vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.88-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.69Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.03Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.09Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.36Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.68Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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10.05Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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6.49Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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12.72College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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8.87Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.35Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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13.02Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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12.11University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Bridget Green | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Grace Squires | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 18.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 20.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 13.3% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.