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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.41+8.87vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+7.74vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+5.62vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.99+3.17vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.70+3.33vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+0.25vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.86+5.00vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.75+0.11vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.07-2.21vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.55-0.66vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.30-0.75vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.88+0.22vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.47vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.70-5.86vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.62-2.16vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.75-3.52vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.40-7.17vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-9.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.87Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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8.62Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.17Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.33Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.0University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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8.11Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.79Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.34Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.25Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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12.22University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
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10.53St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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8.14Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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12.84Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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12.48College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Bridget Green | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.4% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% |
| Madeleine Rice | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 16.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 19.6% |
| Grace Squires | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 17.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Dana Haig | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.