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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+5.55vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+6.46vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.75+9.75vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+6.68vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+4.47vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.30+4.20vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.07-0.10vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.69+0.48vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-0.27vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.55-0.63vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.98+0.71vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.70-3.15vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.99-5.81vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.86-2.27vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.40-5.29vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.41-6.22vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.70-8.41vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.88-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.46Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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12.75College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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10.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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10.2Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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6.9Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.48Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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9.37Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.71Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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8.85Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.19Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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11.73University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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9.78Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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8.59Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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11.86University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Grace Squires | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 18.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Bridget Green | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% |
| Dana Haig | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.9% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.