← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.69+7.71vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.23+4.44vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.75+5.50vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.99+3.24vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.30+5.10vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.70+2.47vs Predicted
-
7Tulane University2.70+1.48vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston1.75+4.39vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.86+3.13vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University2.55-0.59vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-2.08vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy2.40-1.84vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.98-1.62vs Predicted
-
14Brown University2.41-4.60vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-5.54vs Predicted
-
16Boston College3.07-9.03vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-5.96vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania1.88-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.71Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
-
6.44Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.5Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
7.24Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
-
10.1Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
-
8.47Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
-
8.48Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
-
12.39College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
-
12.13University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
-
9.41Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
-
8.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
-
10.16U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
-
11.38Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
-
9.4Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
-
9.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
-
6.97Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
11.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
-
11.8University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Grace Squires | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 17.7% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 14.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Dana Haig | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.