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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+7.50vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+7.80vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.99+4.44vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69+4.40vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.70+3.44vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.41+3.73vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.88+4.96vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.23-1.74vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.07-2.16vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.40+0.03vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.70-2.40vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-0.82vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.75-0.63vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.86-2.23vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.55-5.92vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.98-4.33vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.30-6.63vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-9.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.5Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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7.44Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.4Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.44Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.73Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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11.96University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
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6.26Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.84Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.03U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.6Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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12.37College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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11.77University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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9.08Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.67Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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10.37Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Green | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 11.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% |
| Grace Squires | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 17.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 13.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% |
| Dana Haig | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.