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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.70+7.71vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+7.79vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.40+7.04vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+4.62vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55+4.07vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.99+1.29vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+3.86vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.70+0.40vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.30+1.21vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-3.45vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.75+1.53vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.98-0.07vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.07-6.18vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.88-2.38vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.75-6.79vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.69-7.39vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.41-7.13vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.86-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.71Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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9.07Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.29Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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10.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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8.4Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.21Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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6.55Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.53College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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11.93Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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6.82Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
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8.21Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.61Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.87Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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11.88University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
| Dana Haig | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Grace Squires | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 19.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 15.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Madeleine Rice | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| Bridget Green | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.