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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+8.39vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+5.13vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+7.56vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+4.23vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.99+2.26vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+0.35vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.70+1.52vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.06+3.17vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.75+3.53vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+1.16vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.69-2.27vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.41-1.82vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.40-3.30vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.70-5.77vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.91-3.14vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-7.13vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.98-5.25vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-8.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.39Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.13Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.56Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.23Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.26Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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6.35Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.52Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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12.53College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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11.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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8.73Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.18Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.23Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.86University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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11.75Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% |
| Grace Squires | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 16.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 8.1% |
| Bridget Green | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Sydney Monahan | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 14.2% |
| Dana Haig | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.