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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+5.66vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+5.16vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.40+7.04vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.55+5.07vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.75+3.29vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.70+2.53vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.75+5.52vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+0.73vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.69-0.50vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.70-1.24vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.45vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.99-4.34vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.41-3.34vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-3.42vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.91-3.11vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.98-4.33vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-7.23vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.30-7.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.16Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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9.07Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.29Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.53Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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12.52College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.5Cornell University2.690.0%1st Place
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8.76Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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11.45University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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7.66Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.66Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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11.89University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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11.67Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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10.08Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Grace Squires | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 17.7% |
| Dana Haig | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% |
| Bridget Green | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% |
| Sydney Monahan | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 13.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 13.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.