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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+8.04vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+9.55vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.99+4.57vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.07+2.96vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+4.54vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.70+2.54vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.75+1.35vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.98+3.52vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.30+1.25vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.91+2.18vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.40-1.07vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.69-3.05vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.75-0.61vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.46-4.71vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.23-8.69vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-4.99vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.70-8.37vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.55-9.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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11.55University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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7.57Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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6.96Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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8.54Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.35Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.52Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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10.25Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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12.18University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.95Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.39College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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9.29Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.31Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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8.63Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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8.98Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 16.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| Bridget Green | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Grace Squires | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 17.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.