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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.70+7.80vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+7.47vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+8.12vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69+4.50vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.06+6.17vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.07+1.00vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.75+1.31vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+0.69vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.70-0.53vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.91+2.12vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-1.23vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.98+0.07vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.30-2.90vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.99-6.90vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.46-5.48vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.23-9.52vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.75-4.33vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.40-8.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.8Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.47Georgetown University2.550.0%1st Place
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11.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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8.5Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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7.0Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.31Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.47Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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12.12University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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12.07Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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10.1Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.1Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.52Brown University2.460.0%1st Place
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6.48Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.67College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% |
| Bridget Green | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Dana Haig | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 14.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 13.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 19.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.