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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+3.73vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.91+4.24vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.29+5.72vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.24+8.53vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92+1.10vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.33+2.33vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.13+2.12vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+5.72vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.86+1.27vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.32-1.41vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.04-1.35vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-1.67vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.18-4.17vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.16-5.25vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.28-6.54vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.02-2.44vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy0.86-2.94vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-8.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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6.24Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.72Harvard University2.290.0%1st Place
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12.53University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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6.1Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.33Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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9.12Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
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13.72St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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10.27Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.59Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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9.65College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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10.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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8.75Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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8.46Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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13.56Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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14.06U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.4% | 17.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 12.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Lily Flack | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 17.0% | 23.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 20.3% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 26.6% |
| Emma Snead | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.