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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+3.74vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.04+7.74vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.91+3.27vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+2.01vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.13+4.10vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.33+2.38vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.86+6.94vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.83vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.86+1.23vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.32-1.40vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.16-1.90vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-2.39vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.28-4.67vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.18-5.40vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.29-6.57vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.24-3.26vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-3.00vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.02-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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9.74College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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6.27Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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6.01Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.1Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.38Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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13.94U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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9.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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10.23Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.6Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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9.1Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.33Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.6University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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8.43Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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12.74University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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14.0St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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13.34Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.7% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 17.7% | 25.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Emma Snead | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| Marbella Marlo | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 13.3% |
| Lily Flack | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 25.5% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.