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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+7.80vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+4.24vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.39+1.76vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+3.85vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.43+2.94vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.05vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.34vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.02+5.38vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.18+0.02vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+4.06vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.24+1.79vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.33-3.25vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.91-6.89vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.16-5.14vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.13-5.80vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy0.86-1.98vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.04-7.30vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.86-7.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.8Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.24Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.76Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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7.85Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.94Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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9.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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13.38Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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14.06St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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12.79University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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8.75Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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6.11Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.86Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.2Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
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14.02U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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9.7College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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10.13Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaire McCarthy | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.5% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Meredith Moran | 6.1% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Emma Snead | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 19.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Lily Flack | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 25.7% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 12.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 25.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.