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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+3.79vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.28+6.81vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+5.04vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.13+5.04vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92+1.11vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.33+2.44vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.24+5.68vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.04+1.48vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.95vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.43-1.73vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.86-0.53vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.16-2.55vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.02+0.38vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-0.39vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.18-6.06vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-6.66vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.91-10.71vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy0.86-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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8.81Brown University2.280.0%1st Place
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8.04Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.04Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
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6.11Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.44Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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12.68University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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9.48College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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9.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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8.27Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.47Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.45Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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13.38Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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13.61St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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8.94University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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9.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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6.29Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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13.91U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.4% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.9% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 13.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Meredith Moran | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 20.6% |
| Lily Flack | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 22.3% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Emma Snead | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.9% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.