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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+3.81vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.86+8.65vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+5.11vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.16+4.99vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.91+1.27vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.18+3.07vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.13+2.18vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.25vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+0.21vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.33-1.31vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.04-1.24vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.24+1.04vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.43-5.11vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.92-8.03vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.28-6.39vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-2.03vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.02-3.33vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy0.86-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.65Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.11Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.99Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.27Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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9.18Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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8.69Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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9.76College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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13.04University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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7.89Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.97Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.61Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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13.97St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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13.67Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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13.87U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.0% | 16.6% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Emma Snead | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 15.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Lily Flack | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 24.5% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 17.7% | 20.4% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.