← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.91+5.41vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+7.55vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.47+5.06vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.39+0.64vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.92+1.15vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University2.16+3.18vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.24+5.71vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy0.86+5.91vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University2.43-0.99vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.33-1.32vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.28-2.25vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.13-2.37vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-3.85vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston2.04-4.70vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University1.86-4.66vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania2.18-6.90vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-2.97vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University1.02-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.41Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
-
9.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
-
8.06Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
4.64Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
-
6.15Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
-
9.18Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
-
12.71University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
-
13.91U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
-
8.01Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
-
8.68Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
-
8.75Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
-
9.63Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
-
9.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
9.3College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
-
10.34Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
-
9.1University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
-
14.03St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
-
13.4Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 16.2% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 13.6% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 17.1% | 25.7% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Emma Snead | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Lily Flack | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 18.3% | 24.4% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.