← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.13+8.46vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.43+6.22vs Predicted
-
3Tulane University2.16+6.36vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.04+5.52vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University3.39-0.34vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.91+0.15vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.92-0.86vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.33+0.34vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.02+4.48vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.28-1.11vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.57vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania2.18-2.51vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.47-5.25vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-4.99vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida1.24-2.28vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-2.04vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University1.86-6.49vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy0.86-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.46Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
-
8.22Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
-
9.36Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
-
9.52College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
-
4.66Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
-
6.15Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
-
6.14Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
-
8.34Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
-
13.48Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
-
8.89Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
-
9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
-
9.49University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
-
7.75Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
9.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
-
12.72University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
-
13.96St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
-
10.51Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
-
13.9U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Meredith Moran | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 19.2% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 9.8% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 18.8% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Emma Snead | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 13.6% |
| Lily Flack | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 25.8% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.