← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.13+8.49vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.91+4.34vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+6.54vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.92+2.12vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.47+2.87vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.43+2.07vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University1.86+3.36vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+5.76vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.24+3.77vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.39-5.18vs Predicted
-
11Tulane University2.16-1.71vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston2.04-2.00vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College2.33-4.75vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-4.92vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania2.18-5.97vs Predicted
-
16Brown University2.28-7.32vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.02-3.37vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy0.86-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.49Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
-
6.34Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
-
9.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
-
6.12Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
-
7.87Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
8.07Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
-
10.36Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
-
13.76St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
-
12.77University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
-
4.82Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
-
9.29Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
-
10.0College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
-
8.25Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
-
9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
9.03University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
-
8.68Brown University2.280.0%1st Place
-
13.63Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
-
13.92U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Meredith Moran | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Lily Flack | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 16.3% | 24.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 12.6% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 16.0% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Emma Snead | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 21.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.