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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.18+8.26vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+7.58vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+5.07vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.39+0.62vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+3.57vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.43+2.09vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.16+2.12vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.98vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.92-2.90vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.13-0.40vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.86-0.43vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.91-5.53vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.33-4.72vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.24-1.53vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.19-2.03vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.04-6.29vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.02-3.25vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.26University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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4.62Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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8.57Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.09Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.12Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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6.1Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.6Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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10.57Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.47Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.28Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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12.47University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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12.97U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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9.71College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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13.75Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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13.79St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrey Chisari | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Emma Snead | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 17.8% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Meredith Moran | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 13.8% |
| Ava Farley | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 17.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 23.6% |
| Lily Flack | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.