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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+3.83vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+7.62vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.19+10.25vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86+6.25vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+3.57vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.91+0.23vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.43+1.11vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.24+4.68vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.47-1.15vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.16-0.57vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.04-1.24vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.92-5.50vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+0.75vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.13-5.00vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.18-5.98vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.02-2.35vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.33-8.40vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-8.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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13.25U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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10.25Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.57Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.23Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.11Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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12.68University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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7.85Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.43Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.76College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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6.5Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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13.75St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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13.65Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.6Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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9.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.4% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Ava Farley | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 17.6% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Moran | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 14.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Lily Flack | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 17.0% | 24.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 22.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.